‘Meet force with force’
Policy advisors in Berlin are urging a tougher EU response to Trump’s tariff offensive. The message: escalate, take risks and act as a global power.
BERLIN/BRUSSELS/WASHINGTON (own report) – In the face of the Trump administration’s escalating tariff offensive, foreign policy advisors and economic experts in Berlin are urging significantly tougher countermeasures by the EU. While US tariffs on steel and aluminium imports are set to double this Wednesday, Brussels continues to limit itself to threats without actually implementing the counter-tariffs. This is completely inadequate, according to foreign and economic policy researchers at the German Council on Foreign Relations (DGAP). In order to put a stop to the US trade warfare it is, they say, necessary to “meet force with force”. The situation demands not only the implementation of counter-tariffs but also export restrictions on vital products. For example, the United States depends heavily on Dutch-made lithography equipment used in semiconductor production. The EU must, they say, even take the risk of causing widespread instability on the financial markets. This may be the only scenario that can make the Trump administration back down. These calls for a more aggressive response go hand in hand with ambitious long-term demands: the EU should assume the role of an independent global power. Read more
Negotiations in Istanbul
The resumption of the ceasefire talks in Istanbul once again raises the question whether the war could have ended as early as 2022. Foreign Minister Wadephul warns against overestimating Russia's armed forces.
BERLIN/KIEV/MOSCOW (Own report) – Negotiations between Moscow and Kiev on ending the war in Ukraine resumed in Istanbul on Monday, with the exchange of memoranda. Their analysis would be the next step before continuing the negotiations. In the meantime, the exchange of prisoners between Russia and Ukraine is already gaining momentum. Following resumption of the Istanbul negotiations, a close examination of the ceasefire talks in Istanbul in the spring of 2022 has so far been suppressed by leading media with the categorical assertion that Russia demanded, at the time, an unacceptable capitulation from Ukraine. Detailed analyses also by Western experts prove the contrary; they again raise the question of why the West did not support or even torpedoed those peace efforts. Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul's assertion that Russia's “war machine” should not be overestimated also raises questions. The claim that Russia's armed forces will soon be strong enough to attack NATO countries serves to legitimize the current arms build-up. Read more
Euro versus dollar
ECB President Lagarde believes the euro could play a ‘greater international role’ at the expense of a weakening dollar. EU Commission President von der Leyen calls for ‘European independence’ from US.
BERLIN/BRUSSELS (own report) – Thanks to the recent weakness of the US dollar the euro could “play a greater international role” as it gains importance in the global financial system. This view is being advanced by Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank (ECB). As Lagarde stated last week, the US dollar’s share of global currency reserves has fallen to 58 per cent, the lowest since 1994. In the current weakness of the dollar she sees as an opportunity for the euro. Bewildered by Donald Trump’s economic policies, both private investors and governments may be motivated to keep their reserves in euros. However, the Eurozone would still need, said Lagarde, a “solid and credible geopolitical foundation” for this enhanced role – a foundation cemented with strong military capabilities. She went on to say that the European Union would finally have to create the long-promised single capital market and gain greater effectiveness by widening the scope of majority decision-making. Parallel to Lagarde’s ambitious plans for Europe’s economy, EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen is advocating “European independence” from the United States as the next “major European project”. This, again, would mean “a leading role in the global economy of tomorrow”. Read more
A New Era
Berlin celebrates the formal commissioning of the Lithuanian Brigade with a military roll call. Merz and Pistorius seize the opportunity of the first permanent German military base in Eastern Europe to accuse Russia of revisionism.
BERLIN/VILNIUS (own report) – On May 22, Germany celebrated the formal commissioning of its Lithuanian Brigade, with a ceremonial military roll call in the Lithuanian capital Vilnius. On paper, this brigade has existed as a Bundeswehr unit since April 1. Berlin intends to station a total of 5,000 soldiers in Lithuania by 2027. Germany’s Minister of Defense, Boris Pistorius had announced intensive maneuvers for next year. The German government additionally plans to integrate the German commanded NATO multinational battlegroup into the Lithuanian Brigade and thereby into the Bundeswehr command structure. In his speech in Vilnius, Merz reiterated that Germany will do everything to become the strongest military power in Europe. In the Lithuanian capital, both the German chancellor and the minister of defense accused Russia of aggressive revisionism – of all things, during the military roll call commissioning the Bundeswehr’s first permanent foreign base, on territory that had once been the Soviet Union – and in the immediate vicinity of Russia’s border. Read more
Shared Legacy
With no comment, Berlin is stationing German soldiers of the future Lithuanian brigade near the site of the World War II extermination site of Jews – with no effort to commemorate the victims of the Shoah and the German war of extermination.
BERLIN/NEMENČINĖ (Own report) – Berlin is stationing a unit of the future Lithuanian brigade in Nemenčinė just two kilometers away from the site where Germans and Lithuanians massacred a large segment of the town's Jewish population in the fall of 1941. The massacre of Nemenčinė was an aspect of the systematic mass murder carried out by the Germans and their Lithuanian collaborators ln the extermination of the Jews of the Lithuanian province. Prior to the German invasion, Lithuania had been a supra-regional hub of Jewish culture. A few months later, it was “judenfrei” (free of Jews). Less than five percent of the local Jewish population survived German occupation of Lithuania. Commemorating and acknowledging the shared historical guilt play no role in the German-Lithuanian cooperation that, over the past few years, has again grown stronger. On the contrary: the culprits are still today being publicly honored in Vilnius. Within the framework of the deployment of the Lithuanian brigade, Berlin has made no effort, until now, toward commemorating the systematic slaughter of Lithuanian Jews, for example, on the anniversary of the Nemenčinė Massacre. With its silence, it is helping to conceal the reality of Germany’s war of annihilation against the Soviet Union. Read more
Military Republic of Germany
Germany is facing the most comprehensive socio-economic transformation since 1990, following the latest announcements by Merz and Wadephul on upgrading the Bundeswehr to become “Europe's strongest conventional army” with five percent of the GDP.
BERLIN (Own report) – Germany is facing a massive restructuring of its economy and society following the latest announcements by the new German government on its planned upgrading of the Bundeswehr and its competition for military leadership in Europe. Last week, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz declared that the Bundeswehr should become “the strongest conventional army in Europe”. Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul expressed his explicit support for the projected new NATO target of spending five instead of two percent of Germany’s gross domestic product (GDP) on military measures. Berlin is “ready to take on a leading role in Europe” and “to call on others to follow us,” declared Wadephul. With a massive debt-financed arms build-up, the Bundeswehr could actually outpace the French armed forces, which, due to its already high levels of debt, cannot afford to take out excessive arms loans without fearing a drastic financial crisis. This development is accompanied by a significant increase in the power of the arms industry at the expense of civilian sectors and a dramatic militarization of the society. The most comprehensive social change since 1990 is looming. Read more
China and rare earths
Tensions seem to be easing over US imports of industrially essential rare earths from China. Beijing had introduced export controls, particularly targeting US defence companies, which consume immense quantities.
BERLIN/BEIJING/WASHINGTON (own report) – After weeks of Western concerns about a halt to China’s exports of rare earths that are indispensable for many advanced industrial processes, the situation is beginning to ease. Beijing introduced export controls on seven rare earth metals on 4 April in response to Trump’s fierce US tariffs on China. German industry is also affected by Beijing’s move. As it was unclear when and whether export licenses would be issued again, there was growing anxiety on the part of German companies. At the beginning of May there were reports that it was only “a matter of weeks” before the first production shutdowns would occur. But on Tuesday, it was announced that new deliveries of the required rare earths had in fact been approved. With its introduction of export controls, Beijing is mainly targeting the US arms industry, which depends on large volumes of rare earths. The current agreement between Washington and Beijing to reduce tariffs now rests upon China’s suspension of some non-tariff measures. This could include a lowering of export barriers for rare earths. Calls for Western economies to mine rare earths themselves have so far led nowhere. The main difficulty centres on excessive processing costs and major environmental damage. Read more
NATO’s Five-Percent Target
NATO foreign ministers discuss boosting military spending to five percent of GDP. NATO wants to extend its pipeline system to the territory of the former GDR, once again violating the Two-Plus-Four Treaty.
BRUSSELS/BERLIN (Own report) – At their meeting beginning today in Antalya, NATO foreign ministers will discuss, for the first time, new plans to boost military spending to five percent of their gross domestic product (GDP). Under the plan, 3.5 percent of the GDP is earmarked directly for the armed forces and 1.5 percent for infrastructural war preparations. A binding decision on the increase could be taken in six weeks at the NATO summit in The Hague. For Germany, five percent of the GDP would today be €215 billion – 44 percent of the current budget volume of almost €489 billion. Simultaneously, NATO is forging ahead with the expansion of its own infrastructure to complement the respective national arms buildups. According to reports, the NATO pipeline system, particularly supplying military airfields with fuel, is to be extended onto the territory of the former GDR - “as far to the east as possible, close to the potential theater of operations” in a war against Russia. NATO is thus colliding with the Two-Plus-Four Treaty, which prohibits any foreign military presence in East Germany. This treaty is already being violated. Read more
Liberation without liberators
Bundestag bars Russian and Belarus diplomats from World War II commemorations. Leading daily newspaper claims continuity of “Great Russian imperialism” – preceding Hitler, during the 1940s, in the Ukraine war.
BERLIN/MOSCOW (Own report) - The German Bundestag is barring all Russian and Belarus diplomats, whose predecessor state had liberated large parts of Germany – Berlin included – from attending today's commemoration of the 80th anniversary of the end of the war. Already last Sunday, the Russian ambassador to the Federal Republic of Germany had been barred from attending the commemorations at the Sachsenhausen and Ravensbrück Concentration Camps. Both concentration camps were liberated by the Red Army in late April 1945. Twenty-seven million citizens of the Soviet Union and around a quarter of the Belarusian Soviet Republic’s population had perished under German terror. Diplomats of their successor states are no longer welcomed at German commemorations. Russia’s waging a war of aggression against Ukraine, is the reason given. Ambassadors of several states, which have been invading foreign countries in recent years, are expected to attend today’s commemoration in the Bundestag, which had itself given the green light for a war of aggression in 1999. Germany's obvious discrimination is motivated by the fact that Berlin is seeking Moscow's defeat in the Ukraine war. Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul declares that Russia will “always be an enemy.“ Read more
‘Europe as a world-shaping power’
Germany’s next head of policy on culture calls colonial conquest of the world a ‘civilizational accomplishment’, laments Europe’s ‘cultural self-destruction’ through ‘immigration’, mourns the loss of Europe’s ‘expansionist power’.
BERLIN (own report) – Germany has a new Minister of State in the Federal Chancellery for Culture and the Media. Known for his provocative views, Wolfram Weimer laments Europe’s “precipitous loss of power” as a result of decolonisation. He praises the alleged “civilizational accomplishment that came with world conquest”. Weimer also stated in ‘Das konservative Manifest’, which he published back in 2018, that the “commitment to Christianity” is “an important component of European identity”: “The baptism certificate is the ticket to entering European civilisation.” The next head of policy on culture and media has also bemoaned what he calls the “cultural self-destruction” of European societies, in which “the numerous kebab shops, the unrelenting immigration and the homage to Kanak-German” are being used “to eradicate the old national instincts”. In his “manifesto”, Weimer goes on to mock “the equal opportunities officers and integration counsellors” as “high priests of do-gooderism”. In his latest outpourings he is urging the centre-right in Germany to take into account the far-right AfD’s demands for pushing back immigration. The positions he advances can provide the ideological foundations for reshaping the EU and for an aggressively expansive global policy. Read more