• Battle tanks for the spring offensive

    Delivery of Leopard 2s to Ukraine remains uncertain. The battle tanks are needed for a spring offensive that could include attacks on Crimea.

    RAMSTEIN/BERLIN/WASHINGTON (Own report) – In the immediate run-up to the conference of arms suppliers held at the US Ramstein Air Base, the German government has remained silent on the possible delivery of Leopard 2 battle tanks to Ukraine. Pressure to supply the battle tanks had again mounted yesterday. The U.S. has declined to provide M1 Abrams tanks, while demanding that Germany hand over Leopard 2s to Ukraine. According to US media reports, large numbers of battle tanks are needed for a Ukrainian spring offensive, currently being planned by Ukrainian and US military officials. The required arms supply should be decided in Ramstein. Washington is only willing to authorize more sustained shelling of Crimea, the report notes. Warnings that this could cross Russia's red lines, escalate the war and even trigger a nuclear attack are being dismissed. In the past, the West has repeatedly crossed Russia's red lines – with dramatic consequences. As the situation now stands, a possible nuclear attack would strike Europe, but not the USA. Read more

  • “All this Talk” of Red Lines

    Demands to deliver battle tanks and fighter jets to Ukraine are raised in Berlin. Western military officials support Kiev’s plans to retake Crimea.

    BERLIN/KIEV (Own report) – Following the German government’s announcement to supply Ukraine with armored infantry fighting vehicles, more extensive demands to deliver battle tanks and jet fighters are being raised in Berlin. The Green parliamentarian Anton Hofreiter, declared that he “would like” to see “ a European initiative for the delivery of the Leopard 2. Vice-Chancellor Robert Habeck does not rule out Leopard 2 deliveries to Kiev. Carlo Masala, Professor at the Bundeswehr University in Munich advocates providing Ukraine’s armed forces also with fighter jets, needed for a “counter-offensive.” Masala and others are pleading to ignore Russia’s red lines. The currently discussed counter-offensives include the attempt to militarily retake Crimea. This could be accomplished by August, according to a retired US General. Of course, this would mean that the West would have to supply Ukraine with even more arms, explains a former advisor to the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff. Plans to retake Crimea had already been signed into law in Kiev by presidential decree back in March 2021. If this plan would be carried out, hundreds of thousands of Russians could be expelled by force. Read more

  • Berlin and the “Ukrainian Holocaust”

    Bundestag wants to declare the 1932/33 famine in Ukraine a genocide, adopting politically motivated positions from the milieu of the former Ukrainian Nazi collaboration.

    BERLIN/KIEV (Own report) – The German Bundestag wants to declare the 1932/33 famine in Ukraine a genocide and is thus adopting a politically motivated classification from the milieu of the former Ukrainian Nazi collaboration. As research by historians shows, the claim that the famine was a deliberately planned “Ukrainian Holocaust” originated within the Ukrainian exile community in Canada, where former Nazi-collaborators set the tone. In the late 1980s, this claim was subsumed under the newly coined term “Holdomor”. Historians overwhelmingly reject this claim, particularly because the famine affected the populations of agrarian regions throughout the Soviet Union. The Bundestag plans to pass its resolution on the “Holdomor” already on Wednesday. This also threatens to have serious domestic consequences. Last Friday the Bundesrat had approved the recent tightening of §130 of the German penal code, according to which “the public condoning, denying, or grossly trivializing” of war crimes and genocide will be punishable by law. Read more

  • War Hub Germany

    USA prepares to establish a central command to arm Ukraine – in Wiesbaden. A US-Strategy for underground warfare against occupiers being applied in Ukraine had been devised in Germany.

    WIESBADEN/WASHINGTON/KIEV (Own report) – The United States is consolidating its activities to arm and train Ukrainian armed forces in a new command in Wiesbaden-Erbenheim. According to reports, the final decision on the command’s establishment is imminent. It will integrate all current structures, also including multinational structures, involved in direct military support for Ukraine. The US armed forces would thus even formally be in command and Germany would be bolstered as a hub for military activities of all NATO members in Eastern and Southeastern Europe. A strategy apparently being still being applied in Ukraine, was designed in Germany by the US Special Operations Command Europe (SOCEUR) headquartered in Stuttgart-Vaihingen – the Resistance Operating Concept (ROC), with focus on underground warfare against occupying troops, drawing on historical examples, such as NATO’s Stay Behind concepts. It integrates the civilian population into the combat and provides for special forces’ operations. Read more

  • Between Peace and War

    EU training mission for 15,000 Ukrainian soldiers will soon begin. They will also be trained for offensives against the Russian-occupied regions. Will this be considered entry into the war?

    BERLIN/KIEV (Own report) The EU is deliberately assisting the Ukrainian offensive against the Russian-occupied regions with its imminent training mission for Ukrainian soldiers. This has become apparent through details disclosed over the weekend concerning the EU training mission, due to be decided on Monday next week. Already some time ago, insiders had pointed out that, in recent years, Ukrainian armed forces had specialized in defensive tactics to ward off a Russian attack, but now they need an offensive capability to reconquer Russian positions. In Great Britain, Ukrainian soldiers are already training in urban warfare to capture cities such as Kherson. Instructors from EU countries, including soldiers from the German Bundeswehr, are supposed to train them additional skills. The question, whether this crosses the threshold of actively entering the war, is now being raised with a new urgency. This is happening at a time when presumed acts of sabotage in Germany have triggered a Bundeswehr general to declare that the country is in limbo between peace and war. Read more

  • “Thrive in War”

    European think tank warns against state fragmentation and a criminalized war economy in event of a long war in Ukraine.

    BERLIN/KIEV (On report) – A current statement from the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR), a think tank headquartered in Berlin, warns that Ukraine may succumb to state fragmentation and a “criminalized war economy.” The statement contests key demands of the strategy paper, entitled „Survive and Thrive,” also recently published by the ECFR, which sets the tone for a “long war” in Ukraine. It suggests investing more than €100 billion in the complete replacement of Ukrainian weaponry stocks with state-of-the-art Western-designed weapons. In addition, Ukraine should be rapidly integrated into the European single market. In contrast, the authors of the current statement raise the objection that, in this case, widespread impoverishment in Ukraine would be expected. The poverty rate in the country is already soaring to 40 percent this year and presumably to 58 percent next year, while Western states are egging Kiev on in the war, while not even beginning to cover the huge state deficit that could lead to collapse. Read more

  • Combat Brigades instead of Battlegroups

    NATO defense ministers decide to deploy combat brigades on the alliance’s eastern flank and to transition Ukraine’s armed forces to NATO-standards.

    BRUSSELS/KIEV (Own report) – NATO countries will transition Ukrainian armed forces to NATO-standard and enable them, in the long run, to improve their interoperability with NATO. This was confirmed by NATO Secretary General, Jens Stoltenberg, following NATO’s defense ministers meeting, yesterday. In addition, the ministers have agreed on a model for an arms buildup on the alliance’s eastern flank. This foresees the deployment of combat brigades, of course, with only half of the soldiers being permanently stationed there, while the others will remain on increased readiness at their home bases. To enable deployment at the front, as quickly as possible, large quantities of heavy weapons will be already stockpiled in eastern and southeastern Europe. New measures were decided for Ukraine’s immediate arms buildup, which already has been provided enough military hardware to equip twelve artillery battalions. The arms deliveries will be practically coordinated from a cell located at the Patch Barracks in Stuttgart-Vaihingen. Read more

  • The Hunger Crisis (III)

    EU obstructs UN efforts to deliver Ukrainian grain via Belarus to world markets. Russia and Turkey clear the way for Ukrainian grain exports.

    BERLIN/KIEV/MINSK (Own report) – The EU is obstructing UN efforts to avert global hunger being caused by war and sanctions. The plan provides for the transit of Ukraine’s huge grain reserves over Belarus for shipping via ports at the Baltic Sea. The plan endorsed by UN Secretary General António Guterres is considered to be the only viable alternative to the recently blocked grain-transport via the Black Sea. Of course, the EU is not ready to allow the prerequisites for the plan’s successful implementation and to lift its sanctions against Belarusian fertilizer exports. UN Secretary General António Guterres is in favor of lifting these sanctions to secure the global supply of fertilizers. In a highly symbolic step, Brussels toughened its sanctions against Belarusian fertilizer producers last Friday. On the other hand, UN efforts to jump-start the export of Ukrainian grain via the Black Sea are gaining momentum. Russia and Turkey are paving the way for initial shipments from Odessa. Read more

  • „To the Last Ukrainian”

    Berlin and the EU prepare new arms deliveries to Ukraine. Ex-US diplomat says West favors a long war to weaken Russia.

    BERLIN/WASHINGTON/KIEV (Own report) – Berlin and the EU are preparing new arms deliveries and are not ruling out the war’s prolongation to several years. Over the weekend, EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen reiterated that Brussels is open to exporting even heavy weapons to Ukraine. The German government is ready to provide “military aid” worth two billion euros to foreign states, the bulk of which should go to the Ukrainian forces. The Düsseldorf based arms company Rheinmetall is prepared to overhaul up to 50 Leopard 1 battle tanks and deliver them to Kiev. The Western powers' strategy is not oriented toward ending the battles as quickly as possible but to militarily weaken Russia and possibly even defeating it. EU Foreign Policy Commissioner Josep Borrell remarked that the war will be decided “on the battlefield.” According to a retired senior US diplomat, transatlantic powers are fighting Russia “to the last Ukrainian.” Read more

  • “Everything Below Entry into the War”

    German government contemplates further arms supplies to Ukraine. In Italy and Greece, transport employees block arms exports to warzone.

    BERLIN/KIEV (Own report) – In Berlin pressure is mounting for further deliveries of weaponry to Ukraine. Following Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock’s announcement that the Ukrainian armed forces would be “also provided with systems that we have not yet delivered,” the CDU Chair Friedrich Merz is now demanding that heavy weaponry be also considered. “Everything possible below entering into the war,” should “be feasible,” demanded Alexander Dobrindt, Chair of the CSU faction in the Bundestag. A list with potentially exportable combat material valued at €300 million has already been prepared. These demands are being raised at a time when, according to the Ukrainian negotiator, negotiations between Kiev and Moscow are making progress. Already last week, Britain’s Prime Minister Boris Johnson called on Kiev to only agree to a ceasefire when Ukraine is “militarily in the strongest possible position.” In Italy and Greece, on the other hand, transport workers are blocking the delivery of weaponry to the war zone, explaining, they will not be “accomplices” of the war machine. Read more